Nigeria – Risk Shrouds the Elections

NIGERIA RISK ASSESSMENTS       One Year Ahead Five Years Ahead Risk Category Year Ago Current 03/15 Worst Case Best Case Worst Case Best Case Political Risk 43.0 42.5 37.0 49.5 39.0 59.5 Financial Risk 47.5 39.0 36.0 42.5 30.5 47.0 Economic Risk 37.5 33.0 32.0 35.0 25.0 37.5 Composite Risk 64.0 Read Entire Entry

Venezuela

From Bad to Worse President Nicolás Maduro’s desperate effort to sustain the socialist framework he inherited from the late Hugo Chávez in 2013 is careening toward failure, as a steep fall in global prices for oil, the main source of the government’s income, has exposed fully the systemic Read Entire Entry

Syria – Conditions Largely Unchanged

Aided by a campaign of military airstrikes conducted by a US-led coalition that includes the Gulf Arab states, Syrian Kurdish fighters successfully repelled a months-long battle for the town of Kobanê, the first significant military setback for ISIL within Syria. However, the militants retain Read Entire Entry

Israel – Coalition Math Points to Probability of a Right-leaning Government

ISRAEL RISK ASSESSMENTS       One Year Ahead Five Years Ahead Risk Category Year Ago Current 02/15 Worst Case Best Case Worst Case Best Case Political Risk 66.5 67.0 62.5 69.5 61.0 74.0 Financial Risk 41.5 41.5 40.5 43.5 36.0 43.5 Economic Risk 40.5 41.5 39.0 43.0 30.5 44.5 Composite Risk 74.3 Read Entire Entry