Finland – Low Risk of Worrisome Policy Shift

The unity of Prime Minister Juha Sipilä’s coalition government has been strained of late, as Sipila’s centrist agrarian KESK and its main partner, the conservative KOK, remain at odds over how to restructure the existing municipal system for delivering health and welfare services, with the Read Entire Entry

Coming Soon in Our December 2018 Political Risk Reports

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The PRS Group’s coverage of the Americas this month includes an update on Ecuador, where President Lenin Moreno has continued to implement an orthodox economic policy program, a strategy that has already cost him the support of his one-time leftist allies in the legislature, leaving the Read Entire Entry

From the CEO – November 2018

Christopher McKee, PhD, Chief Executive of The PRS Group, Inc.
Dear Clients, As I mentioned on CNBC last month – and repeated several times in the press and in our reports – the real political risk facing British prime minister, Theresa May, wasn’t getting a deal with the EU on the terms of her country’s exit from the union but selling the product at Read Entire Entry

Sweden – Impasse Not a Threat to Economy…Yet

As polling data indicated would be the case, the elections for the Riksdag held in conjunction with regional and municipal voting on September 9 produced another hung Parliament, as the incumbent Red-Greens bloc made up of Prime Minister Stefan Löfven’s center-left SAP and the Greens won a total Read Entire Entry

United Kingdom – Brexit Uncertainty Heightens Risk

Prime Minister Theresa May faces a rebellion by hardline Brexiteers in her Conservative Party, who have threatened to vote down her compromise plan for guiding the UK out of the EU in March 2019 with limited disruption to the country’s existing relationship with the bloc. The conflict has already Read Entire Entry

Coming Soon in Our November 2018 Political Risk Reports

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This month’s coverage of the Americas includes new political risk reports on Dominican Republic, Guyana, and Jamaica, as well as an update of Colombia, where there are already clear signs that President Iván Duque, who took office in early August, will struggle to build consensus within the Read Entire Entry

From the CEO – October 2018

Christopher McKee, PhD, Chief Executive of The PRS Group, Inc.
Dear Clients, The gyrations and sell-offs of most asset classes during October continued as ICRG was going to press.  Clearly something that I spoke about in previous client letters given stretched valuations, rising  interest rates, trade issues, weakening global growth – the latter witnessed Read Entire Entry

Slovakia – Pellegrini Fails to Soothe Discontent

Prime Minister Peter Pellegrini has completed his first six months in office after taking over the top government post from Róbert Fico, who felt obliged to resign earlier this year amid the largest anti-government street protests the country had seen since the 1989 Velvet Revolution. The catalyst Read Entire Entry

China – Risk Grows as Trade War Escalates

The US imposed a 10% tariff on another $200 billion worth of imports from China earlier this month, in the latest round of the escalating trade war in which neither side has given any indication that it is considering retreat. The new tariffs will increase to 25% on January 1, 2019, unless a deal Read Entire Entry

Coming Soon in Our October 2018 Political Risk Reports

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Our extensive coverage of Western Europe this month includes fully revised reports on Finland and Sweden, as well as Turkey, where an early general election held in June resulted in a first-round victory for the incumbent, AKP leader Recep Tayyip Erdogan, in the presidential election, and the Read Entire Entry