Insights

President Vladimir Putin won a six-year extension of his tenure as president by a landslide at an election held in March 2018, and his allies in United Russia control a comfortable majority in the national legislature. However, Putin’s stock has diminished in recent months, amid rumblings of Read Entire Entry

The Beijing government’s further encroachment on the autonomy that Hong Kong enjoys as a special administrative region of China will continue to have a mildly negative effect on political risk in what is otherwise one of the most attractive business climates in the world. Chinese President Xi Read Entire Entry

In addition to fresh analyses of Colombia and Costa Rica, PRS’ coverage of the Americas this month includes a fully revised report on Argentina, where President Mauricio Macri is running out of time to rebuild public trust before seeking a renewal of his mandate.  The painful austerity measures Read Entire Entry

Dear Clients, The next stage in the Venezuelan power crisis continues to unfold in line with our model forecasts. Given that PRS has factored a 75% likelihood of a civilian-military regime in place within the next year, and that – as I mentioned last month – what we are seeing unfold is the Read Entire Entry

The UAE is navigating turbulent regional waters as international opprobrium rains upon its closest ally, Saudi Arabia. As in Saudi Arabia, the de facto head of government in the UAE is the crown prince, Mohammed bin Zayed (popularly known as MBZ), who, acting in his ailing father’s stead, is also Read Entire Entry

Robert Fico, the leader of the main governing Direction-Social Democracy (Smer), continues to roil the political waters, nine months after he resigned as prime minister, amid a scandal involving the murder of an investigative journalist digging into government corruption. Back in November, Fico Read Entire Entry

Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s coalition government was on shaky ground from its inception in May 2015, and met an early demise in December, prompting the scheduling of a general election for April 2019. Against expectations, a conflict over security policy, rather than a budget dispute or Read Entire Entry

In addition to fresh analyses of Canada and the United States, PRS’ coverage of the Americas this month includes a fully revised report on Venezuela, where the opposition-controlled National Assembly has declared Nicolás Maduro’s claim to the presidency to be illegitimate, and earlier this Read Entire Entry

Dear Clients, The early weeks of 2019 have not disappointed anyone with expectations that the already high levels of political and country risk around the globe would continue.  Needless to say, our models are working ‘over-time,’ and the multitude of insights and forecasts they are providing Read Entire Entry

Having achieved the presidency by means of a military coup carried out in November 2017, Emmerson Mnangagwa fulfilled his goal of obtaining a popular mandate at an election held in late July, although the result was tainted by credible allegations of various widespread irregularities. At his Read Entire Entry