Insights

Robert Fico, the leader of the main governing Direction-Social Democracy (Smer), continues to roil the political waters, nine months after he resigned as prime minister, amid a scandal involving the murder of an investigative journalist digging into government corruption. Back in November, Fico Read Entire Entry

In addition to fresh analyses of Canada and the United States, PRS’ coverage of the Americas this month includes a fully revised report on Venezuela, where the opposition-controlled National Assembly has declared Nicolás Maduro’s claim to the presidency to be illegitimate, and earlier this Read Entire Entry

Dear Clients, The early weeks of 2019 have not disappointed anyone with expectations that the already high levels of political and country risk around the globe would continue.  Needless to say, our models are working ‘over-time,’ and the multitude of insights and forecasts they are providing Read Entire Entry

Having achieved the presidency by means of a military coup carried out in November 2017, Emmerson Mnangagwa fulfilled his goal of obtaining a popular mandate at an election held in late July, although the result was tainted by credible allegations of various widespread irregularities. At his Read Entire Entry

PRS’ coverage of the Americas this month includes a fully revised report on Brazil, where a new president, Jair Bolsonaro, took office on January 1 with a clear mandate to wage a battle against official corruption and violent crime. The right-wing former army officer has signaled that he does not Read Entire Entry

Dear Clients, As 2018 draws to a close, an outlook for the coming year is usually expected. It’s almost unavoidable. Yet as a firm that has led the world of quant-driven political and country risk rating and analyses for 40 years – 2019 will be PRS’ 40th anniversary, incidentally – we tend Read Entire Entry

Vladimir Putin’s fourth term as president is proving to be more uncomfortable than expected, with a public backlash against proposed pension reforms forcing the government to make a partial retreat in August. Putin agreed to soften some of the more controversial elements of the reform bill, but Read Entire Entry

The unity of Prime Minister Juha Sipilä’s coalition government has been strained of late, as Sipila’s centrist agrarian KESK and its main partner, the conservative KOK, remain at odds over how to restructure the existing municipal system for delivering health and welfare services, with the Read Entire Entry

The PRS Group’s coverage of the Americas this month includes an update on Ecuador, where President Lenin Moreno has continued to implement an orthodox economic policy program, a strategy that has already cost him the support of his one-time leftist allies in the legislature, leaving the Read Entire Entry

Dear Clients, As I mentioned on CNBC last month – and repeated several times in the press and in our reports – the real political risk facing British prime minister, Theresa May, wasn’t getting a deal with the EU on the terms of her country’s exit from the union but selling the product at Read Entire Entry