Insights

Below is our most recent Political Risk Index (PRI) Table with countries ranked from low to high risk. The PRI is the overall measure of risk for a given country, calculated by using all 17 risk components from the PRS Methodology including turmoil, financial transfer, direct investment, and export Read Entire Entry

The SLPFA, a 17-party coalition dominated by the SLPP, controls 145 seats in the 225-member Parliament, and with the support of four smaller parties can muster the two-thirds majority required to revise the constitution without the cooperation of the main opposition SJB. Despite those strengths, Read Entire Entry

PRS’ coverage of the Americas this month includes fully revised reports on Brazil, Mexico, Venezuela, and Chile, where the administration set to take office in March had pledged to abandon the liberal economic model that has prevailed since the restoration of democratic governance more than three Read Entire Entry

The December 2021 edition of INVESTIR: Insights from the International Country Risk Guide is now available. Brazil buys gold amidst rising inflation; Iceland’s parliament temporarily disrupted by COVID-19; Scholz’s approval rating eases, as Moldova receives $596mn from the IMF. Strategic Read Entire Entry

Dear Clients, The final weeks of the year usually require us to look to the new calendar and offer some thoughts on what we might see as some of the risks or political undercurrents that might define 2022. PRS has never really offered a formal ‘top ten list’ of geopolitical risks for the Read Entire Entry

President Ali Bongo Ondimba is still in his 60s and shows no sign of a desire to turn over the reins when his current term ends in 2023. Even so, questions about the state of his health have given rise to speculation about a possibly dynastic succession that would see political control turned over Read Entire Entry

Local elections held this month attracted more voters than the parliamentary elections in June, but turnout was still less than 40%, and the incumbent FLN again lost electoral ground. Perhaps more troubling for President Abdelmadjid Tebboune and the political establishment in Algiers, the big Read Entire Entry

PRS’ coverage of the Americas this month includes fully revised reports on Nicaragua and Panama, along with updates on Jamaica, Uruguay, and Ecuador, where President Guillermo Lasso has been bleeding support amid a wave of deadly violence and a loss of credibility resulting from the businessman Read Entire Entry

The November 2021 edition of INVESTIR: Insights from the International Country Risk Guide is now available. Bolsonaro’s travails continue in Brazil; a shaky start to the new Czech government; anti-corruption parties prevail in Bulgaria’s tally; Cameroon’s worries continue; impressive economic Read Entire Entry

Dear Clients, As we all know, there are many unknowns surrounding the new Omicron strain that appears to be spreading globally. Early indications suggest that it is more transmissible, yet there is little known about its severity and to what extent it poses a real threat to public health. So far, Read Entire Entry