RISK ASSESSMENTS One Year Ahead Five Years Ahead Risk Category Year Ago Current 09/12 Worst Case Best Case Worst Case Best Case Political Risk 56.5 54.0 50.0 60.0 50.0 66.5 Financial Risk 37.5 42.5 39.0 43.0 32.5 44.0 Economic Risk 26.0 36.5 33.5 37.0 23.5 37.5 Composite Risk 60.0 66.5
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Madagascar: No Resolution in Sight
Hungary Country Update
MOST LIKELY REGIMES AND THEIR PROBABILITIES 18-Month: Fidesz-MPS 70% Five-Year: Fidesz-MPS 40% (45%) FORECASTS OF RISK TO INTERNATIONAL BUSINESS Turmoil Financial Transfer Direct Investment Export Market 18-Month: Low C B+ B Five-Year: Low B- B+ (B) B (B-) ( ) Indicates change in rating *
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Burkina Faso: Economic Outlook
Industry Relatively Immune to Impact of Unrest The domestic unrest will have little impact on economic growth as it will not affect major industries. Following a lower-than-expected growth rate of 4.2% in 2011, constrained by weather-affected cereal production, economic activity is expected to
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Malaysia Country Forecast
OST LIKELY REGIMES AND THEIR PROBABILITIES 18-Month: UMNO-led Coalition 55% (60%) Five-Year: UMNO-led Coalition 50% (60%) (more…)
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