Impasse Broken, but Stability at Risk Since taking the throne in 2006, Emir Sabah’s staunch defense of royal prerogatives has contributed to a deepening division between the executive and legislative branches, in the process shrinking the potential for reaching the compromises required to secure Read Entire Entry

Cuba Update

MOST LIKELY REGIMES AND THEIR PROBABILITIES 18-Month: Raúl Castro 70% Five-Year: *Reform Communist 40% FORECASTS OF RISK TO INTERNATIONAL BUSINESS Turmoil Financial Transfer Direct Investment Export Market 18-Month: Low D- C D+ Five-Year: Moderate C (C+) C+ C (C+) ( ) Indicates change in rating. Read Entire Entry