Pakistan

FORECASTS OF RISK TO INTERNATIONAL BUSINESS Turmoil Financial Transfer Direct Investment Export Market 18‑Month: Very High D+ B C- Five‑Year: High C- C C KEY ECONOMIC FORECASTS Years Real GDP Growth % Inflation % Current Account ($bn) 2008-2012(AVG) 3.2 13.9 -5.05 2013(F) 3.8 8.0 -2.30 Read Entire Entry

Tunisia Update

MOST LIKELY REGIMES AND THEIR PROBABILITIES 18-Month: Reformist Coalition 45% Five-Year: Reformist Coalition 40% FORECASTS OF RISK TO INTERNATIONAL BUSINESS Turmoil Financial Transfer Direct Investment Export Market 18-Month: High C+ B+ C+ Five-Year: Moderate C B C+ ( ) Indicates change in rating. Read Entire Entry

Argentina Political Players

Cristina Fernández de Kirchner: Although an influential political figure in her own right, the former first lady’s 2007 presidential bid was inarguably boosted by the popularity of her husband, Nestor Kirchner, and she has maintained the heterodox economic policy course inherited from her Read Entire Entry