Colombia Political Players

Juan Manuel Santos: The candidate of the center-right Partido de la U won a second-four year term in 2014, defeating a challenger backed by Santos’ predecessor, Alvaro Uribe, in a contest that amounted to a referendum on the president’s effort to conclude a comprehensive peace deal with leftist Read Entire Entry

Sri Lanka – Weakening Support for the UPFA

The next round of national elections does not fall due until 2016, but there is reason to suspect that President Mahinda Rajapaksa and the governing United People’s Freedom Alliance (UPFA) may pursue an early renewal of their mandate. Rajapaksa employed a similar strategy before winning landslide Read Entire Entry

Ukraine – Tensions Running High as Voters Head for the Polls

UKRAINE RISK ASSESSMENTS       One Year Ahead Five Years Ahead Risk Category Year Ago Current 10/14 Worst Case Best Case Worst Case Best Case Political Risk 62.0 57.0 51.0 68.5 51.5 73.5 Financial Risk 35.5 27.5 26.0 32.0 21.5 37.0 Economic Risk 32.0 23.5 20.5 27.0 20.5 33.0 Composite Risk 64.8 Read Entire Entry

Cuba – Cautious Approach to Reform

In March 2014, the 612-member National Assembly approved an overhaul of the 1995 foreign investment law, a key step forward in the program of economic liberalization initiated by President Raúl Castro as part of a strategy for laying the foundation for a smooth transfer of political control to a Read Entire Entry