Venezuela – Maduro’s Days May Be Numbered

A combination of economic mismanagement and a steep decline in global oil prices has thrown the Venezuelan economy into a crisis. Spiraling inflation, a lack of access to foreign exchange, and widespread shortages of basic goods are creating hardship for households and businesses alike, and recent Read Entire Entry

Japan – Missed Opportunity?

Prime Minister Shinzo Abe opted for an early election in December 2014 with the stated aim of affirming his government’s popular mandate to proceed with an ambitious program of reforms—dubbed Abenomics—that are designed to lift the economy out of the low gear in which it has been stuck for Read Entire Entry

Indonesia – Jokowi’s Credibility on the Line

MOST LIKELY REGIMES AND THEIR PROBABILITIES 18-Month: Divided Government 65% (50%) Five-Year: Divided Government 70% (60%) FORECASTS OF RISK TO INTERNATIONAL BUSINESS   Turmoil Financial Transfer Direct Investment Export Market 18-Month: Moderate B (B+) B- (B) B Five-Year: Moderate B- B- (B) B- ( Read Entire Entry

Iran – Agreement Reached, but Hurdles Remain

In mid-July, negotiators from Iran and the P5+1 (the five permanent members of the UN Security Council and Germany) reached an agreement on a framework for preventing Iran from developing nuclear weapons while still enabling the country to make use of nuclear technology for non-military purposes.  Read Entire Entry

Brazil – Rousseff under Fire

BRAZIL - ICRG RISK ASSESSMENTS       One Year Ahead Five Years Ahead Risk Category Year Ago Current 08/15 Worst Case Best Case Worst Case Best Case Political Risk 63.5 61.5 60.0 67.0 59.0 76.0 Financial Risk 40.0 34.0 33.5 37.0 30.0 40.5 Economic Risk 33.0 28.5 29.0 30.5 26.5 34.5 Composite Risk Read Entire Entry