Turkey – Erdogan and AKP Back in Control

The incumbent AKP won a decisive victory at a snap election held on November 1, a vote necessitated by the failure of the party to form a government after winning just 40.9% of the vote and losing its majority status in the 550-member Parliament at an election held in June. Pre-election polling Read Entire Entry

Greece – Tsipras Embraces His Fate

The past year has been a turbulent one for Greece, marked by two elections and a national referendum, a flirtation with a catastrophic sovereign default, and the transformation of Prime Minister Alexis Tsipras from anti-austerity firebrand to dispenser-in-chief of the harsh fiscal medicine demanded Read Entire Entry

Argentina – A Defeat for Populism

The outcome of legislative elections and the first-round presidential election held in late October signaled the end of the heterodox populism that has characterized the policy approach of the Argentine government over the last 12 years, regardless of who ultimately emerged victorious in the Read Entire Entry

Tunisia – Political Stability Threatened

MOST LIKELY REGIMES AND THEIR PROBABILITIES 18-Month: Reformist Coalition 45% (55%) Five-Year: Reformist Coalition 45% (50%) FORECASTS OF RISK TO INTERNATIONAL BUSINESS   Turmoil Financial Transfer Direct Investment Export Market 18-Month: High C+ B (B+) C+ Five-Year: Moderate C+ B- (B) C+ (B-) ( Read Entire Entry