Insights

Although there is little imminent risk of Emmanuel Macron feeling compelled to call a snap election before the expiration of the Parliament’s five-year term in 2022, political headwinds are strengthening as France faces (more…) Read Entire Entry

Although Vietnam has thus far weathered the COVID-19 health crisis with limited loss of life, a surge of infections in Da Nang in July highlighted the dangers of complacency at a time when the ruling CPV is preparing for a change of leadership (more…) Read Entire Entry

The September 2020 edition of INVESTIR: Insights from the International Country Risk Guide is now available. From currency controls in Argentina, to Italy’s plebiscite; almost war between Armenia and Azerbaijan, to Zimbabwe’s FX regime; democratic sentiment in Indonesia, to Lebanon’s Read Entire Entry

More than 15 months after leading his BJP and its allies in the NDA to a second landslide victory at the May 2019 elections, Prime Minister Narendra Modi continues to enjoy strong popularity, despite ample grounds for criticizing the government’s management of the COVID-19 crisis. Although there Read Entire Entry

Public protests by students and other pro-democracy activists triggered by a controversial extradition bill subsided for the most part in early 2020 as democracy activists adhered to social-distancing rules aimed at containing the spread of COVID-19. However, the pro-Beijing regime headed by Read Entire Entry

The August 2020 edition of INVESTIR: Insights from the International Country Risk Guide is now available.  From Canada’s suspended parliament to Guyana’s election resolution; Moscow’s next move in Belarus to political change in Bulgaria. The implications of Mali’s coup to elections in Cote Read Entire Entry

Although there is little to suggest that the incumbent Liberal-National government might be toppled from office before the completion of the current three-year term in 2022, Prime Minister Scott Morrison’s administration faces fresh challenges (more…) Read Entire Entry

The July 2020 edition of INVESTIR: Insights from the International Country Risk Guide is now available.  From growing uncertainties in the US to Guyana’s electoral impasse; EU stimulus provides a boost to much of Europe and the euro, and confidence improves in the UK. Cameroon’s peace talks Read Entire Entry

As pre-election polls indicated would be the case, incumbent President Tsai Ing-wen won a second four-year term at the presidential contest held in January, taking 57.1% of the vote, compared to just 38.6% for Kaohsiung Mayor Han Kuo-yu, the candidate of the KMT. Tsai’s nominally pro-independence Read Entire Entry

Chinese relations sour with the US and UK; and border tensions with India mount. The country's ICRG risk ranking slides (yoy). Inflation is a concern; and a large fiscal hole will make budget cuts politically difficult. For more Insights like these from ICRG read the latest edition of INVESTIR: Read Entire Entry