Chinese Relations Sour with the US and UK

Chinese relations sour with the US and UK; and border tensions with India mount. The country's ICRG risk ranking slides (yoy). Inflation is a concern; and a large fiscal hole will make budget cuts politically difficult. For more Insights like these from ICRG read the latest edition of INVESTIR: Read Entire Entry

Regional Political Risk Index (October 2019)

Below is our most recent Political Risk Index (PRI) Table ranked from low to high risk within each region listed. The PRI is the overall measure of risk for a given country, calculated by using all 17 risk components from the PRS Methodology including turmoil, financial transfer, direct investment, Read Entire Entry

Mexico – AMLO Looking Vulnerable

President Andrés Manuel López Obrador, popularly known as AMLO, has had a rough go of it since taking office in December 2018, despite benefiting from a strong popular mandate and the reliable backing of majorities in both chambers of the bicameral Congress. His approach to tackling key problems Read Entire Entry

INVESTIR – May 2020 Edition

May's edition of INVESTIR: Insights from the International Country Risk Guide is now available. Political risk is in full force this month as the direct impact of the C-19 pandemic recedes in some parts of the world and as risk appetite takes hold in some asset classes. Watch for considerable Read Entire Entry

Angola – Economic Troubles Bring Political Risks

As elsewhere in the region, Angola has initiated the process of easing social-distancing rules imposed to contain the spread of COVID-19, but a resumption of full economic activity is still some way off. The lockdown rules were breached with such frequency that security personnel were deployed as Read Entire Entry

Poland – COVID-19 Creates Election Controversy

The conservative-nationalist PiS won a second term in office at parliamentary elections held in October 2019, but the government headed by Prime Minister Mateusz Morawiecki depends on the support of two conservative parties—Agreement and United Poland—for its majority in the 460-member Sejm and Read Entire Entry

China – Health Crisis Tests Regime’s Credibility

A health crisis arising from the coronavirus outbreak is testing public faith in a state bureaucracy that is the linchpin of CCP’s iron grip on power. The epidemic comes at a particularly inconvenient time for President Xi Jinping, who was already struggling to manage a damaging trade war with Read Entire Entry

AI: The future of geopolitical risk

Would you like a look at the future of geopolitical risk? An AI-driven approach that combines PRS' longstanding quant-driven metrics with other data to offer investible actions for discretionary asset managers? It’s arrived. Backed by famed investor Stanley Druckenmiller (who, with George Soros, Read Entire Entry

Thailand – Slim Majority an Impediment

Although the holding of long-delayed elections in March 2019 cleared the way for the restoration of something resembling civilian democratic rule, the government continues to be headed by former coup leader Prayut Chan-o-cha, and with the military-appointed representatives in the upper legislative Read Entire Entry

Oman – Balancing Act Becoming More Challenging

Under the leadership of Sultan Qaboos, Oman has historically served as a mediator in disputes among the member states of the GCC, and, especially over the last decade, between the GCC and the Iran. However, the sultanate’s continuing effort to remain on good terms with its feuding neighbors has Read Entire Entry