India – Controversies Sustain Modi’s Popularity

More than 15 months after leading his BJP and its allies in the NDA to a second landslide victory at the May 2019 elections, Prime Minister Narendra Modi continues to enjoy strong popularity, despite ample grounds for criticizing the government’s management of the COVID-19 crisis. Although there Read Entire Entry

Hong Kong – Risks Rise as Beijing Stirs Controversy

Public protests by students and other pro-democracy activists triggered by a controversial extradition bill subsided for the most part in early 2020 as democracy activists adhered to social-distancing rules aimed at containing the spread of COVID-19. However, the pro-Beijing regime headed by Read Entire Entry

INVESTIR – August 2020 Edition

The August 2020 edition of INVESTIR: Insights from the International Country Risk Guide is now available.  From Canada’s suspended parliament to Guyana’s election resolution; Moscow’s next move in Belarus to political change in Bulgaria. The implications of Mali’s coup to elections in Cote Read Entire Entry

Australia – Morrison Secure, for Now

Although there is little to suggest that the incumbent Liberal-National government might be toppled from office before the completion of the current three-year term in 2022, Prime Minister Scott Morrison’s administration faces fresh challenges (more…) Read Entire Entry

Taiwan – Beijing Threat Looms Large

As pre-election polls indicated would be the case, incumbent President Tsai Ing-wen won a second four-year term at the presidential contest held in January, taking 57.1% of the vote, compared to just 38.6% for Kaohsiung Mayor Han Kuo-yu, the candidate of the KMT. Tsai’s nominally pro-independence Read Entire Entry

Chinese Relations Sour with the US and UK

Chinese relations sour with the US and UK; and border tensions with India mount. The country's ICRG risk ranking slides (yoy). Inflation is a concern; and a large fiscal hole will make budget cuts politically difficult. For more Insights like these from ICRG read the latest edition of INVESTIR: Read Entire Entry

Regional Political Risk Index (October 2019)

Below is our most recent Political Risk Index (PRI) Table ranked from low to high risk within each region listed. The PRI is the overall measure of risk for a given country, calculated by using all 17 risk components from the PRS Methodology including turmoil, financial transfer, direct investment, Read Entire Entry

Mexico – AMLO Looking Vulnerable

President Andrés Manuel López Obrador, popularly known as AMLO, has had a rough go of it since taking office in December 2018, despite benefiting from a strong popular mandate and the reliable backing of majorities in both chambers of the bicameral Congress. His approach to tackling key problems Read Entire Entry

INVESTIR – May 2020 Edition

May's edition of INVESTIR: Insights from the International Country Risk Guide is now available. Political risk is in full force this month as the direct impact of the C-19 pandemic recedes in some parts of the world and as risk appetite takes hold in some asset classes. Watch for considerable Read Entire Entry

Angola – Economic Troubles Bring Political Risks

As elsewhere in the region, Angola has initiated the process of easing social-distancing rules imposed to contain the spread of COVID-19, but a resumption of full economic activity is still some way off. The lockdown rules were breached with such frequency that security personnel were deployed as Read Entire Entry