INVESTIR – December 2020 Edition

The December 2020 edition of INVESTIR: Insights from the International Country Risk Guide is now available. Opposition side-lined in Nicaragua; Azerbaijan's president gets a boost; Italy's confidence votes; post-election happenings in Cote d'Ivoire; a rosy outlook for Australia; and political risk Read Entire Entry

Mexico – AMLO Popular, but Not Invulnerable

Approaching the two-year mark of his six-year term as president, Andrés Manuel López Obrador (aka AMLO) remains broadly popular, despite a thin record of accomplishments and deservedly poor reviews from critics of his handling of the COVID-19 pandemic and the related economic difficulties. While Read Entire Entry

Belgium – Broad Coalition Formed

In early October, some 21 months after the collapse of Charles Michel’s center-right government in December 2018, and more than 16 months on from a general election held in May 2019, the Parliament confirmed a new majority government made up of the liberal, socialist, and green parties Read Entire Entry

Hungary – EU Raises the Stakes

A victory for the main governing Fidesz in a parliamentary by-election held on October 11 has raised doubts about the feasibility of the opposition’s proposed strategy of forming a big-tent electoral alliance and fielding joint candidates for all 199 seats in the National Assembly. Moreover, by Read Entire Entry

Poland – EU Steps up Pressure

The threatened collapse of the five-year political partnership of the populist-conservative PiS and two further-right parties, UP and Agreement, has been averted the conclusion of a new coalition agreement that will apparently see PiS leader Jaroslaw Kaczynski take a more active role in government, Read Entire Entry

INVESTIR – October 2020 Edition

The October 2020 edition of INVESTIR: Insights from the International Country Risk Guide is now available. From rising incidents of civil disorder to new mobility restrictions. Governments take on additional debt and search for funding sources, as we present the latest winners and losers in Read Entire Entry

France – Macron’s Woes Mount

Although there is little imminent risk of Emmanuel Macron feeling compelled to call a snap election before the expiration of the Parliament’s five-year term in 2022, political headwinds are strengthening as France faces (more…) Read Entire Entry

Vietnam – Steady Course Ahead of Succession

Although Vietnam has thus far weathered the COVID-19 health crisis with limited loss of life, a surge of infections in Da Nang in July highlighted the dangers of complacency at a time when the ruling CPV is preparing for a change of leadership (more…) Read Entire Entry

INVESTIR – September 2020 Edition

The September 2020 edition of INVESTIR: Insights from the International Country Risk Guide is now available. From currency controls in Argentina, to Italy’s plebiscite; almost war between Armenia and Azerbaijan, to Zimbabwe’s FX regime; democratic sentiment in Indonesia, to Lebanon’s Read Entire Entry

India – Controversies Sustain Modi’s Popularity

More than 15 months after leading his BJP and its allies in the NDA to a second landslide victory at the May 2019 elections, Prime Minister Narendra Modi continues to enjoy strong popularity, despite ample grounds for criticizing the government’s management of the COVID-19 crisis. Although there Read Entire Entry