INVESTIR – October 2019 Edition

October’s edition of INVESTIR: Insights from the International Country Risk Guide is now available. From unrest in Chile to contract viability risk in Papua New Guinea. Bullish on the real and select European equities; winners and losers in geopolitical risk; market implications for risk this Read Entire Entry

Germany – AfD’s Rise Narrows Coalition Options

The next federal election does not fall due until September 2021, but the jury is still out on whether Chancellor Angela Merkel will complete her full term in office, having turned over the reins of the main-governing CDU to Annagret Kramp-Karrenbauer. Both the CDU and its Bavarian sister party, Read Entire Entry

Japan – Abe’s Pet Project Hits a Snag

Losses sustained by the main governing LDP at elections for roughly one-half of the seats in the 245-member House of Councilors, the upper chamber of the Parliament, have significantly complicated Prime Minister Shinzo Abe’s hopes of achieving his goal of revising Japan’s pacifist constitution Read Entire Entry

Costa Rica – Reforms Fuel Backlash

Carlos Alvarado is in some ways an accidental president, in that he appeared to an also-ran contender in the 2018 election until a controversial ruling on same-sex marriage issued by the IACHR just weeks before the first round on voting completely upended the campaign. Despite his improbable win Read Entire Entry

Cuba – Economy in a Vise

Now in the second year of his presidency, Miguel Díaz-Canel is enduring a baptism by fire as he attempts to usher in a new era in Cuba’s political history, following nearly six decades of continuous rule by the Castro dynasty. The economy is being squeezed from two directions, as Cuba’s Read Entire Entry

Vietnam – Steering a Steady Course

Nguyen Phu Trong continues in his dual role as both general-secretary of the ruling CPV and national presidency, the latter role having been taken up following the sudden death of Tran Dai Quang last October. However, Trong is himself 75 years old, and the unexpected demise of Quang raises Read Entire Entry

INVESTIR – August 2019 Edition

When time permits, have a look at the latest edition of 'INVESTIR: Insights from the International Country Risk Guide' for August. From Italy’s latest political uncertainty, to anti-Putin protests; improving fundamentals in Moldova, to continuing dissent in Hong Kong amid mainland equity buying. Read Entire Entry

Iraq – Impasse Broken, but Risks Remain

Fully eight months after securing confirmation as prime minister, Adel Abdul Mahdi has still not managed to completely fill out his Cabinet. However, he did finally secure approval of his nominees to head the ministries of Interior, Defense, and Justice, thereby at least temporarily averting a Read Entire Entry

Zimbabwe – Under Pressure to Obtain Results

Officials had hoped that the introduction of a new currency, the RTGS, supported by a $500 million loan from the Afreximbank would create a path to economic stability, but the exercise has proven to be another failed attempt to restore market confidence. Substantial devaluation on the parallel Read Entire Entry

Saudi Arabia – Teflon Crown Prince

The diplomatic reverberations of the notorious murder of dissident journalist Jamal Khashoggi by government agents at Saudi Arabia’s embassy in Turkey last October have not died down completely. However, despite credible evidence that the killing was ordered by the kingdom’s de facto ruler, Read Entire Entry