INVESTIR – February 2021 Edition

The February 2021 edition of INVESTIR: Insights from the International Country Risk Guide is now available.  Possible fuel price intervention in Brazil; Belarus tightens the screws on dissent; Draghi enjoys considerable popular/legislative support (for now); elections and cabinet choices in Cote Read Entire Entry

Australia – Crisis Response Boosts Morrison

The center-right government made up of the LP, the NP, and their state counterparts in Queensland and the Northern Territory got off to a rocky start following an unexpected win at the federal elections held in May 2019, but the health crisis created by the COVID-19 pandemic has provided an Read Entire Entry

INVESTIR – January 2021 Edition

The January 2021 edition of INVESTIR: Insights from the International Country Risk Guide is now available. Chile purchases USD; Peru’s forthcoming election; Russian protests; a tactical move by Italy’s Conte; security forces win in Uganda; instability in Malaysia and Mongolia; heightened Read Entire Entry

Portugal – Novo Banco Standoff Highlights Risks

Relations between the government and the further-left parties on whose support Prime Minister Antonio Costa depends for a parliamentary majority have become testy amid the social and economic strains arising from the COVID-19 pandemic. Ostensibly, the Socialist government is still in a strong Read Entire Entry

Ecuador – Not out of the Woods Yet

The second half of 2020 has produced some noteworthy political victories for President Lenin Moreno, whose government has managed to pull Ecuador back from the precipice of sovereign default on which the country stood after losing access to IMF loans and incurring a significant loss of oil income, Read Entire Entry

INVESTIR – December 2020 Edition

The December 2020 edition of INVESTIR: Insights from the International Country Risk Guide is now available. Opposition side-lined in Nicaragua; Azerbaijan's president gets a boost; Italy's confidence votes; post-election happenings in Cote d'Ivoire; a rosy outlook for Australia; and political risk Read Entire Entry

Mexico – AMLO Popular, but Not Invulnerable

Approaching the two-year mark of his six-year term as president, Andrés Manuel López Obrador (aka AMLO) remains broadly popular, despite a thin record of accomplishments and deservedly poor reviews from critics of his handling of the COVID-19 pandemic and the related economic difficulties. While Read Entire Entry

Belgium – Broad Coalition Formed

In early October, some 21 months after the collapse of Charles Michel’s center-right government in December 2018, and more than 16 months on from a general election held in May 2019, the Parliament confirmed a new majority government made up of the liberal, socialist, and green parties Read Entire Entry

Hungary – EU Raises the Stakes

A victory for the main governing Fidesz in a parliamentary by-election held on October 11 has raised doubts about the feasibility of the opposition’s proposed strategy of forming a big-tent electoral alliance and fielding joint candidates for all 199 seats in the National Assembly. Moreover, by Read Entire Entry

Poland – EU Steps up Pressure

The threatened collapse of the five-year political partnership of the populist-conservative PiS and two further-right parties, UP and Agreement, has been averted the conclusion of a new coalition agreement that will apparently see PiS leader Jaroslaw Kaczynski take a more active role in government, Read Entire Entry