Insights

Dear Clients, Apart from some very impressive market gains, we’ve come to the close of a year that has been loathed almost universally and which has wrought countless sufferings on millions worldwide.  We are cautiously optimistic that 2021 will be a better year. But as we’ve seen in the US Read Entire Entry

Dear Clients, The release of some positive news on the vaccine front in November was especially constructive for the emerging and frontier markets in our ICRG coverage. Given concerns among many about the feasibility of storing the vaccines developed by Pfizer and Moderna (which require extremely Read Entire Entry

Dear Clients, The breadth of the global pandemic has widened in recent weeks with countries such as France and Germany imposing fairly strict new national lockdowns. The spread is occurring in other parts of the continent, with the EU and its neighbors (more…) Read Entire Entry

Dear Clients, Several years ago, political risk specialists began to make clear the diminishing separation between the pitfalls of investing in developed versus emerging markets.  For some time the risk premium/burden fell squarely on the shoulders of the sovereigns of the emerging world given Read Entire Entry

Dear Clients, Political risk entered a new but quite familiar phase more fully last week as US Fed Chairman Powell signaled a significant (but largely expected) change to the country’s monetary policy, suggesting that interest rates would stay low for some time, opting to allow employment gains Read Entire Entry

Dear Clients, One of the benefits of having the longest running and independently back-tested geopolitical risk series globally is that it lends itself to a range of applications and uses, from asset trading and portfolio management, to risk mitigation (more…) Read Entire Entry

Dear Clients, The post C19 world (for most of us, at least) is redefining ways in which geopolitical risk can be conceptualized. Risk of this sort is not – and has never been – a uniform phenomenon, where the hazards to business and assets are more or less evenly distributed among, for example, Read Entire Entry

Dear Clients, Summer is upon us.  It’s a time to spend more of the day outdoors, pursuing recreational activities, and passing time with friends and family.  That much of the world is ‘reopening’ after several months of C-19-induced lockdowns is also – like summer – a welcome sight. Read Entire Entry

Dear Clients, As it is often said, there is a time for everything.  Now, given that the peak of the COVID-19 infection curve in most countries has passed and all attention is devoted to various ways of ‘opening’ economies, this is the time to begin to think differently about a number of things. Read Entire Entry

Dear Clients, There is really no escaping the pressure to write about the pandemic that has now affected some 200 countries and especially those with densely populated areas. But rather than rehashing case statistics and related items – other sites do a better job – I’d like to address the Read Entire Entry