Insights

Dear Clients, Political risk entered a new but quite familiar phase more fully last week as US Fed Chairman Powell signaled a significant (but largely expected) change to the country’s monetary policy, suggesting that interest rates would stay low for some time, opting to allow employment gains Read Entire Entry

Dear Clients, One of the benefits of having the longest running and independently back-tested geopolitical risk series globally is that it lends itself to a range of applications and uses, from asset trading and portfolio management, to risk mitigation (more…) Read Entire Entry

Dear Clients, The post C19 world (for most of us, at least) is redefining ways in which geopolitical risk can be conceptualized. Risk of this sort is not – and has never been – a uniform phenomenon, where the hazards to business and assets are more or less evenly distributed among, for example, Read Entire Entry

Dear Clients, Summer is upon us.  It’s a time to spend more of the day outdoors, pursuing recreational activities, and passing time with friends and family.  That much of the world is ‘reopening’ after several months of C-19-induced lockdowns is also – like summer – a welcome sight. Read Entire Entry

Dear Clients, As it is often said, there is a time for everything.  Now, given that the peak of the COVID-19 infection curve in most countries has passed and all attention is devoted to various ways of ‘opening’ economies, this is the time to begin to think differently about a number of things. Read Entire Entry

Dear Clients, There is really no escaping the pressure to write about the pandemic that has now affected some 200 countries and especially those with densely populated areas. But rather than rehashing case statistics and related items – other sites do a better job – I’d like to address the Read Entire Entry

Dear Clients, With the world’s attention on the spread of the coronavirus and its impact on the world’s equity markets, investor confidence, and ultimately on the state of the global economy, it’s necessary to mention only a couple of items.  One is largely temporal; the other relates to the Read Entire Entry

Dear Clients, One of the questions I’m often asked when meeting new entrants to the field of political risk is: What does the future hold for this type of work? Compared to the time when I entered the industry shortly before the Asian financial crisis, the number of firms specializing in Read Entire Entry

Dear Clients, At the close of the year and indeed the decade those of us in the risk and forecasting world are often asked for out ‘top picks’ for the coming year – those ‘surprises’ that nary a soul will see on the horizon and which will set the geopolitical risk world on its head (I Read Entire Entry

Dear Clients, The fall months bring cooler weather to the PRS offices, and the (pre-holiday) season also ushers in the time to revisit some of our favorite works of literature. There is a point to raising this annual occurrence, since it has a connection to one of the main currents of political Read Entire Entry