Insights

Dear Clients, The fall months bring cooler weather to the PRS offices, and the (pre-holiday) season also ushers in the time to revisit some of our favorite works of literature. There is a point to raising this annual occurrence, since it has a connection to one of the main currents of political Read Entire Entry

Dear Clients, One of the benefits of being active in the geopolitical risk field for the better part of 25 years is that it gives one the advantage of hindsight as well as a way of conceptualizing the interdisciplinary nature of the enterprise. To be sure, the operation of political risk Read Entire Entry

Dear Clients, Just as ICRG was sending its data requirements for the month to clients, a new chapter opened in what appears to be a never-ending news and political cycle targeting President Trump for apparent wrongdoings. This time the alleged offenses stem from a series of allegations from the Read Entire Entry

Dear Clients, Part of the accepted wisdom of serious efforts at political risk forecasting is that the enterprise requires a relevant and sufficiently comprehensive series of metrics against which a larger picture of overall risk can be acquired.  So – to use a couple of risk variables - when Read Entire Entry

Dear Clients, Despite being kept busy with the various happenings in the world of political risk, the summer months are always savored as it gives us some time for other pursuits and for reflection. The benefit of our business is that the multi-faceted nature of political risk creates a very Read Entire Entry

Dear Clients, In my discussions with PRS clients and other interested parties, the conversation often centers itself on two different levels: On the one hand, there is the largely symbolic, political level, which is generally devoid of excessive detail, but which makes interesting conversation and Read Entire Entry

Dear Clients, Among the most frequently asked questions we receive from newer clients involves the cost of political risk on investments and how to predict and prepare for it. And more importantly, if political risk is almost ubiquitous now, affecting almost all markets, from developed to frontier, Read Entire Entry

Dear Clients, One of the interesting things we see at PRS through the course of our monthly forecasts, ratings and general observations from the world of political and country risk is the extent to which general principles have endurance of over-time and application to many of the policy choices Read Entire Entry

Dear Clients, With overall levels of political risk expected to rise in the US as the presidential cycle kicks into gear this fall, PRS’ eyes are fixed firmly on parts of Europe. Despite some blips of higher consumer confidence showing up in our models in February, the outlook for the mainstay of Read Entire Entry

Dear Clients, The next stage in the Venezuelan power crisis continues to unfold in line with our model forecasts. Given that PRS has factored a 75% likelihood of a civilian-military regime in place within the next year, and that – as I mentioned last month – what we are seeing unfold is the Read Entire Entry