Insights

Although the holding of long-delayed elections in March 2019 cleared the way for the restoration of something resembling civilian democratic rule, the government continues to be headed by former coup leader Prayut Chan-o-cha, and with the military-appointed representatives in the upper legislative Read Entire Entry

PRS’ coverage of the Americas this month includes updates on Colombia, Cuba, and the United States, as well as fully revised reports on Canada and Brazil.  Our analysis of Canada will focus on the implications of the Trudeau government’s loss of its majority status for policy implementation in Read Entire Entry

Dear Clients, At the close of the year and indeed the decade those of us in the risk and forecasting world are often asked for out ‘top picks’ for the coming year – those ‘surprises’ that nary a soul will see on the horizon and which will set the geopolitical risk world on its head (I Read Entire Entry

Under the leadership of Sultan Qaboos, Oman has historically served as a mediator in disputes among the member states of the GCC, and, especially over the last decade, between the GCC and the Iran. However, the sultanate’s continuing effort to remain on good terms with its feuding neighbors has Read Entire Entry

PRS’ coverage of the Americas this month includes fully revised reports on Dominican Republic, Ecuador, Nicaragua, and Uruguay, where Luis Lacalle Pou, the candidate of the center-right National (Blancos) Party, narrowly defeated the candidate of the incumbent Broad Front in a run-off Read Entire Entry

Dear Clients, The fall months bring cooler weather to the PRS offices, and the (pre-holiday) season also ushers in the time to revisit some of our favorite works of literature. There is a point to raising this annual occurrence, since it has a connection to one of the main currents of political Read Entire Entry

PRS’ coverage of the Americas this month includes fully revised reports on Guyana and Mexico, both of which are facing political hazards that will heighten risk in the near term. In Guyana, a political crisis triggered by a dispute over the validity of a vote of no-confidence in the coalition Read Entire Entry

Dear Clients, One of the benefits of being active in the geopolitical risk field for the better part of 25 years is that it gives one the advantage of hindsight as well as a way of conceptualizing the interdisciplinary nature of the enterprise. To be sure, the operation of political risk Read Entire Entry

October’s edition of INVESTIR: Insights from the International Country Risk Guide is now available. From unrest in Chile to contract viability risk in Papua New Guinea. Bullish on the real and select European equities; winners and losers in geopolitical risk; market implications for risk this Read Entire Entry

The next federal election does not fall due until September 2021, but the jury is still out on whether Chancellor Angela Merkel will complete her full term in office, having turned over the reins of the main-governing CDU to Annagret Kramp-Karrenbauer. Both the CDU and its Bavarian sister party, Read Entire Entry