Insights

Pedro Castillo, the candidate of the leftist Free Peru, eked out a victory over his far-right opponent, Keiko Fujimori, in a presidential run-off election held in early June. Fujimori challenged the result, alleging fraud, but the official tally confirmed Castillo’s victory. The leader of the Read Entire Entry

The September 2021 edition of INVESTIR: Insights from the International Country Risk Guide is now available. Bahamas’ sizable debt load; bitcoin protests in El Salvador; coalition negotiations in Germany; Russia’s questionable election; Guinea’s military junta promises a vote; political Read Entire Entry

It is now more than nine months on since Russia brokered a truce that halted a six-week mini-war between Azerbaijan and Armenia. While the presence of some 2,000 Russian peacekeepers has helped to prevent a renewed eruption of widespread conflict, little progress has been made toward hammering out Read Entire Entry

PRS’ coverage of the Americas this month includes a fully revised report on El Salvador and updates on Bolivia and the United States, where political polarization is impeding the national effort to bring the COVID-19 crisis under control and has raised the specter of a completely unnecessary Read Entire Entry

Dear Clients, Towards the end of last year, I was asked about some of the political risks that we should be aware of as 2021 unfolds. Forecasts, as it were. The query came alongside the annual ‘top ten’ lists that some risk firms offer for the coming 12 months. The pandemic was in full swing, Read Entire Entry

The center-left government headed by Prime Minister Stefan Löfven’s SAP was toppled from office by a confidence vote in June, as the Left Party, one of three parties keeping the minority administration in power, withdrew its support to protest plans to ease rent controls as a means of addressing Read Entire Entry

PRS’ coverage of the Americas this month includes fully revised reports on Paraguay and Suriname, as well as updates on Costa Rica and Canada, where polling data indicates that Prime Minister Justin Trudeau may have blundered badly by calling a snap election that will be held on September 20. Read Entire Entry

Dear Clients, At first glance – and given the media treatment of the events in Afghanistan over the past several weeks – the trajectory of political risk in that country doesn’t appear to be too promising. Indeed, since most in the political risk business today were far too young to be Read Entire Entry

The prolonged power struggle between the royally appointed government and popularly elected lawmakers who are intent on making all state ministers, including members of the ruling Al Sabah clan, more accountable to the Parliament shows no sign of abating, despite both a change of rulers in late Read Entire Entry

PRS’ coverage of the Americas this month includes an update on political developments in Argentina, as well as fully revised reports on Cuba, where a recent rare eruption of political unrest highlights the challenges for the Communist regime in the post-Castro era, and Peru, which is being Read Entire Entry