Insights

Dear Clients, There is really no escaping the pressure to write about the pandemic that has now affected some 200 countries and especially those with densely populated areas. But rather than rehashing case statistics and related items – other sites do a better job – I’d like to address the Read Entire Entry

A health crisis arising from the coronavirus outbreak is testing public faith in a state bureaucracy that is the linchpin of CCP’s iron grip on power. The epidemic comes at a particularly inconvenient time for President Xi Jinping, who was already struggling to manage a damaging trade war with Read Entire Entry

In addition to full reports on Costa Rica, Honduras, and Paraguay, PRS’ coverage of the Americas this month includes fully revised reports on Haiti and Venezuela, where President Nicolás Maduro has managed to retain his grip on power, despite broad international support for the rival Read Entire Entry

Dear Clients, With the world’s attention on the spread of the coronavirus and its impact on the world’s equity markets, investor confidence, and ultimately on the state of the global economy, it’s necessary to mention only a couple of items.  One is largely temporal; the other relates to the Read Entire Entry

Would you like a look at the future of geopolitical risk? An AI-driven approach that combines PRS' longstanding quant-driven metrics with other data to offer investible actions for discretionary asset managers? It’s arrived. Backed by famed investor Stanley Druckenmiller (who, with George Soros, Read Entire Entry

In addition to updates on Argentina and Chile, PRS’ coverage of the Americas this month includes fully revised reports on Suriname and Peru, where an early election held in late January inflicted heavy losses on establishment parties, and produced a highly fragmented Congress in which the largest Read Entire Entry

Dear Clients, One of the questions I’m often asked when meeting new entrants to the field of political risk is: What does the future hold for this type of work? Compared to the time when I entered the industry shortly before the Asian financial crisis, the number of firms specializing in Read Entire Entry

Although the holding of long-delayed elections in March 2019 cleared the way for the restoration of something resembling civilian democratic rule, the government continues to be headed by former coup leader Prayut Chan-o-cha, and with the military-appointed representatives in the upper legislative Read Entire Entry

PRS’ coverage of the Americas this month includes updates on Colombia, Cuba, and the United States, as well as fully revised reports on Canada and Brazil.  Our analysis of Canada will focus on the implications of the Trudeau government’s loss of its majority status for policy implementation in Read Entire Entry

Dear Clients, At the close of the year and indeed the decade those of us in the risk and forecasting world are often asked for out ‘top picks’ for the coming year – those ‘surprises’ that nary a soul will see on the horizon and which will set the geopolitical risk world on its head (I Read Entire Entry