Insights

Nguyen Phu Trong continues in his dual role as both general-secretary of the ruling CPV and national presidency, the latter role having been taken up following the sudden death of Tran Dai Quang last October. However, Trong is himself 75 years old, and the unexpected demise of Quang raises Read Entire Entry

PRS’ coverage of the Americas this month includes fully revised reports on Venezuela, Haiti, Honduras, and Paraguay, as well as a new report on Costa Rica, where President Carlos Alvarado continues to encounter obstacles to implementing a program of structural reforms.  Alvarado defied the odds Read Entire Entry

Dear Clients, Part of the accepted wisdom of serious efforts at political risk forecasting is that the enterprise requires a relevant and sufficiently comprehensive series of metrics against which a larger picture of overall risk can be acquired.  So – to use a couple of risk variables - when Read Entire Entry

When time permits, have a look at the latest edition of 'INVESTIR: Insights from the International Country Risk Guide' for August. From Italy’s latest political uncertainty, to anti-Putin protests; improving fundamentals in Moldova, to continuing dissent in Hong Kong amid mainland equity buying. Read Entire Entry

Fully eight months after securing confirmation as prime minister, Adel Abdul Mahdi has still not managed to completely fill out his Cabinet. However, he did finally secure approval of his nominees to head the ministries of Interior, Defense, and Justice, thereby at least temporarily averting a Read Entire Entry

Officials had hoped that the introduction of a new currency, the RTGS, supported by a $500 million loan from the Afreximbank would create a path to economic stability, but the exercise has proven to be another failed attempt to restore market confidence. Substantial devaluation on the parallel Read Entire Entry

PRS’ coverage of the Americas this month includes updates on Chile and Colombia, and a revised report on Argentina, which will hold presidential and legislative elections in October.  The report will examine the results of primary elections scheduled for August 11 that could have a significant Read Entire Entry

Dear Clients, Despite being kept busy with the various happenings in the world of political risk, the summer months are always savored as it gives us some time for other pursuits and for reflection. The benefit of our business is that the multi-faceted nature of political risk creates a very Read Entire Entry

The diplomatic reverberations of the notorious murder of dissident journalist Jamal Khashoggi by government agents at Saudi Arabia’s embassy in Turkey last October have not died down completely. However, despite credible evidence that the killing was ordered by the kingdom’s de facto ruler, Read Entire Entry

This month’s coverage of the Americas includes updates on Brazil and Canada, as well as a fully revised report on the United States, which faces a period of intense (and potentially dangerous) political polarization as the rival parties prepare for a November 2020 presidential election that many Read Entire Entry