Insights

PRS’ coverage of the Americas this month includes fully revised reports on Guyana and Mexico, both of which are facing political hazards that will heighten risk in the near term. In Guyana, a political crisis triggered by a dispute over the validity of a vote of no-confidence in the coalition Read Entire Entry

Dear Clients, One of the benefits of being active in the geopolitical risk field for the better part of 25 years is that it gives one the advantage of hindsight as well as a way of conceptualizing the interdisciplinary nature of the enterprise. To be sure, the operation of political risk Read Entire Entry

October’s edition of INVESTIR: Insights from the International Country Risk Guide is now available. From unrest in Chile to contract viability risk in Papua New Guinea. Bullish on the real and select European equities; winners and losers in geopolitical risk; market implications for risk this Read Entire Entry

The next federal election does not fall due until September 2021, but the jury is still out on whether Chancellor Angela Merkel will complete her full term in office, having turned over the reins of the main-governing CDU to Annagret Kramp-Karrenbauer. Both the CDU and its Bavarian sister party, Read Entire Entry

Losses sustained by the main governing LDP at elections for roughly one-half of the seats in the 245-member House of Councilors, the upper chamber of the Parliament, have significantly complicated Prime Minister Shinzo Abe’s hopes of achieving his goal of revising Japan’s pacifist constitution Read Entire Entry

Carlos Alvarado is in some ways an accidental president, in that he appeared to an also-ran contender in the 2018 election until a controversial ruling on same-sex marriage issued by the IACHR just weeks before the first round on voting completely upended the campaign. Despite his improbable win Read Entire Entry

PRS’ coverage of the Americas this month includes a fully revised report on Guatemala, where dark-horse candidate Alejandro Giammattei won an upset victory over Sandra Torres, the leader of the center-left National Unity of Hope (UNE). The president-elect’s right-wing Vamos party won just 16 Read Entire Entry

Dear Clients, Just as ICRG was sending its data requirements for the month to clients, a new chapter opened in what appears to be a never-ending news and political cycle targeting President Trump for apparent wrongdoings. This time the alleged offenses stem from a series of allegations from the Read Entire Entry

Now in the second year of his presidency, Miguel Díaz-Canel is enduring a baptism by fire as he attempts to usher in a new era in Cuba’s political history, following nearly six decades of continuous rule by the Castro dynasty. The economy is being squeezed from two directions, as Cuba’s Read Entire Entry

Nguyen Phu Trong continues in his dual role as both general-secretary of the ruling CPV and national presidency, the latter role having been taken up following the sudden death of Tran Dai Quang last October. However, Trong is himself 75 years old, and the unexpected demise of Quang raises Read Entire Entry