Insights

More than 15 months after leading his BJP and its allies in the NDA to a second landslide victory at the May 2019 elections, Prime Minister Narendra Modi continues to enjoy strong popularity, despite ample grounds for criticizing the government’s management of the COVID-19 crisis. Although there Read Entire Entry

Public protests by students and other pro-democracy activists triggered by a controversial extradition bill subsided for the most part in early 2020 as democracy activists adhered to social-distancing rules aimed at containing the spread of COVID-19. However, the pro-Beijing regime headed by Read Entire Entry

The August 2020 edition of INVESTIR: Insights from the International Country Risk Guide is now available.  From Canada’s suspended parliament to Guyana’s election resolution; Moscow’s next move in Belarus to political change in Bulgaria. The implications of Mali’s coup to elections in Cote Read Entire Entry

PRS’ coverage of the Americas this month includes fully revised reports on Costa Rica, Honduras, and Suriname, where a surprise election result has brought an end to the reign of convicted murderer Desí Bouterse, whose legal status has been a cloud hovering over a country that is poised to enjoy Read Entire Entry

Dear Clients, Political risk entered a new but quite familiar phase more fully last week as US Fed Chairman Powell signaled a significant (but largely expected) change to the country’s monetary policy, suggesting that interest rates would stay low for some time, opting to allow employment gains Read Entire Entry

Although there is little to suggest that the incumbent Liberal-National government might be toppled from office before the completion of the current three-year term in 2022, Prime Minister Scott Morrison’s administration faces fresh challenges (more…) Read Entire Entry

PRS’ coverage of the Americas this month includes a fully revised report on Argentina, where officials recently announced the achievement of an agreement with creditors to restructure some $65 billion of sovereign debt, enabling the country to avoid being shut out of international debt markets Read Entire Entry

The July 2020 edition of INVESTIR: Insights from the International Country Risk Guide is now available.  From growing uncertainties in the US to Guyana’s electoral impasse; EU stimulus provides a boost to much of Europe and the euro, and confidence improves in the UK. Cameroon’s peace talks Read Entire Entry

Dear Clients, One of the benefits of having the longest running and independently back-tested geopolitical risk series globally is that it lends itself to a range of applications and uses, from asset trading and portfolio management, to risk mitigation (more…) Read Entire Entry

The June 2020 edition of INVESTIR: Insights from the International Country Risk Guide is now available. From Germany’s rising success to Mexico’s deteriorating security and investment climate. Things get interesting in Belarus, as Macron faces a dilemma in Paris. The sustainability of Read Entire Entry