Insights

This month’s coverage of the Americas includes updates on Brazil and Canada, as well as a fully revised report on the United States, which faces a period of intense (and potentially dangerous) political polarization as the rival parties prepare for a November 2020 presidential election that many Read Entire Entry

Dear Clients, In my discussions with PRS clients and other interested parties, the conversation often centers itself on two different levels: On the one hand, there is the largely symbolic, political level, which is generally devoid of excessive detail, but which makes interesting conversation and Read Entire Entry

In April, the center-left Ap definitively ruled out any chance that it might allow drilling for oil and gas near the islands of Lofoten, Senja, and Vesteralen in the Arctic Sea if it forms the government after the 2021 general election. The Ap’s declaration is of immediate importance because it Read Entire Entry

A political truce concluded in mid-2018 helped to calm domestic tensions, but the respite proved temporary, and a renewed eruption of violent protests prompted officials to postpone legislative elections that were scheduled to take place in January. The government’s failure to adhere to the terms Read Entire Entry

This month’s coverage of the Americas includes updates on Ecuador and Mexico, as well as a fully revised report on Panama, where the center-left PRD will return to power following a decade in opposition after winning the presidential and legislative elections held in May.  Although Laurentino Read Entire Entry

Dear Clients, Among the most frequently asked questions we receive from newer clients involves the cost of political risk on investments and how to predict and prepare for it. And more importantly, if political risk is almost ubiquitous now, affecting almost all markets, from developed to frontier, Read Entire Entry

The founding of a new political party, the PSP, by dissident members of the PAP headed by Tan Cheng Bock will enhance perceptions of political pluralism in the city-state without posing a significant threat to the hegemony of the governing party, which has maintained a stranglehold on power since Read Entire Entry

Until mid-February, all indications were that President Abdelaziz Bouteflika would seek a fifth term at an election scheduled for April 2019, despite significant physical limitations caused by a stroke he suffered in 2013 and questions surrounding the actual role of the 82-year-old leader in making Read Entire Entry

The OAS-sponsored anti-corruption body, MACCIH, managed to dodge what could have been a fatal bullet last year, when the Congress unexpectedly rejected all five of President Juan Orlando Hernández’s nominees for the attorney-general’s post, and instead reappointed the incumbent, Oscar Read Entire Entry

The country’s longest-ever delay in the post-election formation of a government ended at 131 days, when Stefan Löfven, the leader of the Social Democrats, was sworn in for a second four-year term, once again at the head of a minority government made up of the SAP and the Greens. As was the case Read Entire Entry