China – Risk Grows as Trade War Escalates

The US imposed a 10% tariff on another $200 billion worth of imports from China earlier this month, in the latest round of the escalating trade war in which neither side has given any indication that it is considering retreat. The new tariffs will increase to 25% on January 1, 2019, unless a deal Read Entire Entry

Coming Soon in Our October 2018 Political Risk Reports

Coming Soon futuristic city
Our extensive coverage of Western Europe this month includes fully revised reports on Finland and Sweden, as well as Turkey, where an early general election held in June resulted in a first-round victory for the incumbent, AKP leader Recep Tayyip Erdogan, in the presidential election, and the Read Entire Entry

From the CEO – September 2018

Christopher McKee, PhD, Chief Executive of The PRS Group, Inc.
Dear Clients, While most attention on emerging markets of late concerns the underperformance of the asset class and the travails of such countries as Argentina and Turkey, one region that hasn’t received much attention is Sub-Saharan Africa (SSA). This paucity of discussion is unfortunate since, Read Entire Entry

Vietnam – Factional Tensions Persist

In early March, one of the highest-ranking members of the CPV secretariat, Dinh The Huynh, resigned from his post, citing health issues. He was immediately replaced by Tran Quoc Vuong, and the smoothness of the transition highlights the significant stability within the upper echelon of the party Read Entire Entry

Brazil – Voters’ Disgust Will Benefit Outsiders

The political fallout from Brazil’s massive corruption scandal has not dissipated, and voters continue to consume a regular diet of news of prominent figures nabbed for illicit enrichment. At the same time, rising insecurity, underscored by a record-breaking homicide rate, is taking a toll not Read Entire Entry

Iran – US Ramps up Pressure

Relations between the US and Iran took a significant turn for the worse in May, when President Donald Trump formally made good on his threat to renounce his government’s obligation to honor the terms of the 2015 agreement between Iran and the so-called P5+1 (the five permanent members of the UN Read Entire Entry

Coming Soon in Our September 2018 Political Risk Reports

Coming Soon futuristic city
This month’s coverage of the Americas includes a fully revised political risk report on Argentina, where the centrist coalition government headed by President Mauricio Macri was forced to seek emergency lending from the IMF amid a steep slide in the currency that has sent inflation soaring.  The Read Entire Entry

From the CEO – August 2018

Christopher McKee, PhD, Chief Executive of The PRS Group, Inc.
Dear Clients, President Trump’s penchant for bilateral trade deals and turning up the heat during the phases of the negotiations were in full view as PRS was concluding this month’s ratings, analyses, and forecasts. After weeks of what appeared to be stalled talks between Washington and Mexico Read Entire Entry

Switzerland – Obstacles to EU Deal Remain

Switzerland landscape
Federal elections will take place in 2019, and relations with the EU will undoubtedly be a central issue of the campaign, with potentially negative implications for the ability of the Swiss corporate sector to maintain seamless cross-border operations and obtain a suitable supply of skilled labor. Read Entire Entry

New Zealand – Peters Stirring the Pot

Labour Party Prime Minister Jacinda Ardern went on six-week maternity leave following the birth of her daughter in late June, providing Winston Peters, the leader of the populist-nationalist NZ First, with an opportunity to head the government on a temporary basis. Freed from the constraints of Read Entire Entry