Insights

Haiti is once again mired in a political crisis, with President Jovenel Moïse governing by decree in the absence of a sitting legislature, and the opposition insisting that Moïse’s mandate expired on February 7, a position supported by many legal experts. For his part, Moïse contends that his Read Entire Entry

PRS’ coverage of the Americas this month includes updates on Nicaragua and Panama, as well as fully revised reports on Guatemala, Jamaica, and Ecuador, where an ideologically diverse and fragile coalition government that took office in late May has inherited the task of reviving an already weak Read Entire Entry

It is now eight months since President Mohammed Irfaan Ali took office, ending a protracted political crisis sustained by the recognition that whoever claimed victory in last year’s election would inherit an oil-powered economic boom and a massive financial windfall, both of which would position Read Entire Entry

Dear Clients, The distinction between political risk in developed versus emerging or frontier markets began to blur some two decades ago (arguably with 9-11) and has become even less marked over the past decade with such events as the Brexit vote and the election of Donald Trump in the US.  As Read Entire Entry

The success or failure of Prime Minister Mario Draghi’s post-pandemic recovery plan will have a significant impact on political and economic stability over the medium term. Backed by EU loans and grants from the bloc’s recovery fund, the $315 billion blueprint for restarting the economy targets Read Entire Entry

PRS’ coverage of the Americas this month includes updates on Haiti and Trinidad & Tobago, and a fully revised report on the Dominican Republic, where President Luis Abinader is encountering obstacles to fulfilling some of the campaign pledges that enabled his Modern Revolutionary Party (PRM) Read Entire Entry

Dear Clients, At PRS – and especially so in the ICRG – we are constantly looking at geopolitical risk from a range of perspectives, quantifying the impact of key events, and delineating emerging trends. Our methodology compels us to appreciate and to convey to our clients how our risk metrics Read Entire Entry

PRS’ coverage of the Americas this month includes a post-election update on El Salvador and fully revised reports on Bolivia, Guyana, and the United States, where a double-upset victory for the Democrats at run-off Senate elections held in early January handed President Joe Biden an unexpected Read Entire Entry

Dear Clients, As I suggested several months ago in a previous client letter, it wouldn’t be too long before inflationary concerns took hold in much of the public and professional discourse given rising treasury yields, questionable equity valuations, and the trajectory of various asset classes, Read Entire Entry

The February 2021 edition of INVESTIR: Insights from the International Country Risk Guide is now available.  Possible fuel price intervention in Brazil; Belarus tightens the screws on dissent; Draghi enjoys considerable popular/legislative support (for now); elections and cabinet choices in Cote Read Entire Entry