Insights

Dear Clients, Apart from some very impressive market gains, we’ve come to the close of a year that has been loathed almost universally and which has wrought countless sufferings on millions worldwide.  We are cautiously optimistic that 2021 will be a better year. But as we’ve seen in the US Read Entire Entry

Approaching the two-year mark of his six-year term as president, Andrés Manuel López Obrador (aka AMLO) remains broadly popular, despite a thin record of accomplishments and deservedly poor reviews from critics of his handling of the COVID-19 pandemic and the related economic difficulties. While Read Entire Entry

In early October, some 21 months after the collapse of Charles Michel’s center-right government in December 2018, and more than 16 months on from a general election held in May 2019, the Parliament confirmed a new majority government made up of the liberal, socialist, and green parties Read Entire Entry

Below is our most recent Political Risk Index (PRI) Table ranked from low to high risk within each region listed. The PRI is the overall measure of risk for a given country, calculated by using all 17 risk components from the PRS Methodology including turmoil, financial transfer, direct investment, Read Entire Entry

PRS’ coverage of the Americas this month includes post-election analyses of Jamaica and the Dominican Republic, along with an in-depth look at how next year’s elections figure to affect risk in Ecuador, where the outgoing government secured a lending agreement with the IMF that will enable it Read Entire Entry

A victory for the main governing Fidesz in a parliamentary by-election held on October 11 has raised doubts about the feasibility of the opposition’s proposed strategy of forming a big-tent electoral alliance and fielding joint candidates for all 199 seats in the National Assembly. Moreover, by Read Entire Entry

Dear Clients, The release of some positive news on the vaccine front in November was especially constructive for the emerging and frontier markets in our ICRG coverage. Given concerns among many about the feasibility of storing the vaccines developed by Pfizer and Moderna (which require extremely Read Entire Entry

The threatened collapse of the five-year political partnership of the populist-conservative PiS and two further-right parties, UP and Agreement, has been averted the conclusion of a new coalition agreement that will apparently see PiS leader Jaroslaw Kaczynski take a more active role in government, Read Entire Entry

Some of the risk items on our analysts’ minds this month include a detailed report on Norway – the risk profile of which has suffered considerably the pandemic began given virus’ impact on global growth and oil demand. We also look at the risks facing investors in Belgium which has the Read Entire Entry

The October 2020 edition of INVESTIR: Insights from the International Country Risk Guide is now available. From rising incidents of civil disorder to new mobility restrictions. Governments take on additional debt and search for funding sources, as we present the latest winners and losers in Read Entire Entry