Costa Rica – Reforms Fuel Backlash

Carlos Alvarado is in some ways an accidental president, in that he appeared to an also-ran contender in the 2018 election until a controversial ruling on same-sex marriage issued by the IACHR just weeks before the first round on voting completely upended the campaign. Despite his improbable win Read Entire Entry

Coming Soon in Our October 2019 Political Risk Reports

PRS’ coverage of the Americas this month includes a fully revised report on Guatemala, where dark-horse candidate Alejandro Giammattei won an upset victory over Sandra Torres, the leader of the center-left National Unity of Hope (UNE). The president-elect’s right-wing Vamos party won just 16 Read Entire Entry

From the CEO – September 2019

Christopher McKee, PhD, Chief Executive of The PRS Group, Inc.
Dear Clients, Just as ICRG was sending its data requirements for the month to clients, a new chapter opened in what appears to be a never-ending news and political cycle targeting President Trump for apparent wrongdoings. This time the alleged offenses stem from a series of allegations from the Read Entire Entry

Cuba – Economy in a Vise

Now in the second year of his presidency, Miguel Díaz-Canel is enduring a baptism by fire as he attempts to usher in a new era in Cuba’s political history, following nearly six decades of continuous rule by the Castro dynasty. The economy is being squeezed from two directions, as Cuba’s Read Entire Entry

Vietnam – Steering a Steady Course

Nguyen Phu Trong continues in his dual role as both general-secretary of the ruling CPV and national presidency, the latter role having been taken up following the sudden death of Tran Dai Quang last October. However, Trong is himself 75 years old, and the unexpected demise of Quang raises Read Entire Entry

Coming Soon in Our September 2019 Political Risk Reports

PRS’ coverage of the Americas this month includes fully revised reports on Venezuela, Haiti, Honduras, and Paraguay, as well as a new report on Costa Rica, where President Carlos Alvarado continues to encounter obstacles to implementing a program of structural reforms.  Alvarado defied the odds Read Entire Entry

From the CEO – August 2019

Christopher McKee, PhD, Chief Executive of The PRS Group, Inc.
Dear Clients, Part of the accepted wisdom of serious efforts at political risk forecasting is that the enterprise requires a relevant and sufficiently comprehensive series of metrics against which a larger picture of overall risk can be acquired.  So – to use a couple of risk variables - when Read Entire Entry

INVESTIR – August 2019 Edition

When time permits, have a look at the latest edition of 'INVESTIR: Insights from the International Country Risk Guide' for August. From Italy’s latest political uncertainty, to anti-Putin protests; improving fundamentals in Moldova, to continuing dissent in Hong Kong amid mainland equity buying. Read Entire Entry

Iraq – Impasse Broken, but Risks Remain

Fully eight months after securing confirmation as prime minister, Adel Abdul Mahdi has still not managed to completely fill out his Cabinet. However, he did finally secure approval of his nominees to head the ministries of Interior, Defense, and Justice, thereby at least temporarily averting a Read Entire Entry

Zimbabwe – Under Pressure to Obtain Results

Officials had hoped that the introduction of a new currency, the RTGS, supported by a $500 million loan from the Afreximbank would create a path to economic stability, but the exercise has proven to be another failed attempt to restore market confidence. Substantial devaluation on the parallel Read Entire Entry