Insights

Although there is little imminent risk of Emmanuel Macron feeling compelled to call a snap election before the expiration of the Parliament’s five-year term in 2022, political headwinds are strengthening as France faces (more…) Read Entire Entry

Although Vietnam has thus far weathered the COVID-19 health crisis with limited loss of life, a surge of infections in Da Nang in July highlighted the dangers of complacency at a time when the ruling CPV is preparing for a change of leadership (more…) Read Entire Entry

PRS’ coverage of the Americas this month includes a fully revised report on El Salvador and an update on Guyana, where a protracted political crisis was finally resolved in early August by a court ruling upholding the validity of an election recount that determined the opposition People’s Read Entire Entry

The September 2020 edition of INVESTIR: Insights from the International Country Risk Guide is now available. From currency controls in Argentina, to Italy’s plebiscite; almost war between Armenia and Azerbaijan, to Zimbabwe’s FX regime; democratic sentiment in Indonesia, to Lebanon’s Read Entire Entry

Dear Clients, Several years ago, political risk specialists began to make clear the diminishing separation between the pitfalls of investing in developed versus emerging markets.  For some time the risk premium/burden fell squarely on the shoulders of the sovereigns of the emerging world given Read Entire Entry

More than 15 months after leading his BJP and its allies in the NDA to a second landslide victory at the May 2019 elections, Prime Minister Narendra Modi continues to enjoy strong popularity, despite ample grounds for criticizing the government’s management of the COVID-19 crisis. Although there Read Entire Entry

Public protests by students and other pro-democracy activists triggered by a controversial extradition bill subsided for the most part in early 2020 as democracy activists adhered to social-distancing rules aimed at containing the spread of COVID-19. However, the pro-Beijing regime headed by Read Entire Entry

The August 2020 edition of INVESTIR: Insights from the International Country Risk Guide is now available.  From Canada’s suspended parliament to Guyana’s election resolution; Moscow’s next move in Belarus to political change in Bulgaria. The implications of Mali’s coup to elections in Cote Read Entire Entry

PRS’ coverage of the Americas this month includes fully revised reports on Costa Rica, Honduras, and Suriname, where a surprise election result has brought an end to the reign of convicted murderer Desí Bouterse, whose legal status has been a cloud hovering over a country that is poised to enjoy Read Entire Entry

Dear Clients, Political risk entered a new but quite familiar phase more fully last week as US Fed Chairman Powell signaled a significant (but largely expected) change to the country’s monetary policy, suggesting that interest rates would stay low for some time, opting to allow employment gains Read Entire Entry