NIGER – April 2025: Little Chance of Power Being Relinquished; Economy Growing Rapidly

‘The junta that took over the country in July 2023 has no intention of relinquishing its grip on power as it tries to eradicate the Islamist threats to security across the Sahel region that have also prompted military takeovers in Burkina Faso and Mali.’

‘Of further concern is the contractual uncertainty caused by the junta sequestering mining rights. In that light, the uranium mining dispute that occurred last year between the Nigeran authorities and Orano, a French-headquartered nuclear fuel cycle company, is continuing.’

‘Fortunately, the country is growing rapidly, mainly due to oil production, with GDP estimated to have shot up by 8.8% in real terms in 2024. Close to 8% growth is also expected for 2025, further supported by the normalization of cross-border activities with Benin, including oil exports, following the restoration of diplomatic ties after the coup led to Benin closing the border and the oil pipeline was shut down.’

From our Country Reports and Economic Forecasts (CREF) on Niger. In addition to three probability scenarios for regime-types over 18-month and five-year periods, eleven types of government intervention that could prove injurious to investors and business, and data galore, have a look when time permits.

Independently back tested for accuracy and relevance, the industry standard by elite consumers.

The PRS Group
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