UKRAINE, July 2025: War, Elections, and Zelensky’s Dilemma

“Although Zelenskyy’s constitutional mandate expired last year (a point noted by Trump), he is not required to hold an election if the country remains at war. However, he will face heavy pressure both at home and abroad to quickly organize a vote once the crisis abates.”

“For that reason, he will be loath to risk being punished by Ukrainian voters by taking any action that might be perceived as capitulation to Putin in exchange for an “easy peace.” Unfortunately for Zelenskyy, Ukraine’s status as a de facto protectorate of NATO means that he will be powerless to reject peace terms that are acceptable to both his western allies and Moscow.”

“…the western defense of Ukraine has been framed as a righteous battle to protect a democratic state from an authoritarian aggressor, making it incumbent upon Zelenskyy and other political leaders to take care to act within constitutional bounds. The president now holds his position on an acting basis, which leaves him vulnerable to second-guessing by rivals, some of whom are overtly sowing doubt about the legitimacy of his continued claim to executive authority.”

From our Country Reports and Economic Forecasts (CREF) on Ukraine.  In addition to three probability scenarios for regime-types over 18-month and five-year periods, eleven types of government intervention that could prove injurious to investors and business, there is data galore. Have a look when time permits.

Independently back tested for accuracy and relevance; the industry standard among elite consumers.

The PRS Group
www.PRSGroup.com