The US and Iran: Was Regime Change Ever Seriously Contemplated? Some Guidance from New Studies Using the ICRG Risk Data.

President Trump offered the following comments the other day on social media. In referring to Iran’s Supreme Leader, Grand Ayatollah Khamenei:

“I knew EXACTLY where he was sheltered, and would not let Israel, or the U.S. Armed Forces, by far the Greatest and Most Powerful in the World, terminate his life,” Trump posted. “I SAVED HIM FROM A VERY UGLY AND IGNOMINIOUS DEATH, and he does not have to say, ‘THANK YOU, PRESIDENT TRUMP!'”

The comments, obviously, were not taken well by the Iranian leadership.  But was regime change ever seriously contemplated by the US? 

For some insights, a new study published by Wiley using our ICRG data on internal conflict and the military’s involvement in politics.

Very interesting conclusions, with the most significant to PRS being one of the major contributions the article makes to the literature: that cross-border conflicts and foreign pressures effects on the military’s involvement in politics are conditional, becoming significant only during periods of political change.

Have a look.  This is a landmark study.
(https://lnkd.in/eyxhNa2M)

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An early look at emerging risks and trends in the propriety International Country Risk Guide (ICRG) data. In addition to insights from our Country Reports and Economic Research affecting 18-month and 5-year regime scenarios and related investment risk.

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