Germany – Establishment under Attack

The appeal of populist parties in Europe, fueled initially by the dismal economic conditions and painful austerity measures that followed the global economic downturn in 2009, has grown significantly over the last 18 months, catalyzed by a refugee crisis that is widely blamed on Chancellor Angela Read Entire Entry

Bolivia – Morales’ Base Eroding

Back in February, voters rejected a constitutional reform that would have permitted President Evo Morales to stand for another term in 2019. However, with the presidential election still more than three years off and the governing MAS controlling a comfortable majority of seats in the Congress, the Read Entire Entry

Ireland – Government Stability in Doubt

Prime Minister Enda Kenny’s minority government has managed to overcome its early hurdles, such as securing passage of the 2017 budget, under a three-year cooperation agreement concluded with the main opposition Fianna Fáil. However, obvious tensions within Kenny’s Fine Gael create doubt as to Read Entire Entry

United Kingdom – May Faces a Daunting Task

The Conservative Party government has indicated that it will trigger Article 50 of the Lisbon Treaty by March 2017, thereby initiating a two-year period of negotiations to establish the terms of the UK’s new relationship with the EU following the decision of British voters to leave the bloc at a Read Entire Entry

Slovakia – SIEŤ’s Demise Reshapes Coalition

Political instability risk has increased since the parliamentary elections in March 2016, in large part owing to the rapid demise of SIEŤ, one of three parties that joined Prime Minister Róbert Fico’s Smer in a governing coalition that controls 84 seats in the 150-member National Council. Read Entire Entry

Oman – Nagging Succession Uncertainty

Concerns surrounding the uncertain health status of Sultan Qaboos bin Said Al-Said may have been eased in mid-November, when the 76-year-old leader made his first public appearance in a year for the country’s National Day celebration. Qaboos spent eight months in Germany for medical treatment for Read Entire Entry